Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #746 / 1,000

P0985

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 8,2% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 822

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 178

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 612Deviation -R 4 566

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 178. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 767

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 513 to R 7 360
Finished ahead: 218 / 1,000 (21,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #622 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 1,95% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.674
Mean bets / session: 3.828
Loss multiplier: 0.9284×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 76,1% / 50,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

Three-Reel SlotR 1 86912 wagers · RTP 40,32%

Craps / DiceR 9397 wagers · RTP 53,25%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 9347 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 8937 wagers · RTP 18,81%

Virtual Sports BettingR 8757 wagers · RTP 25,85%

Lottery / JackpotR 7038 wagers · RTP 48,93%

European RouletteR 6525 wagers · RTP 15,64%

BlackjackR 5973 wagers · RTP 18,93%

American RouletteR 5514 wagers · RTP 179,67%

BaccaratR 3622 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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