Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #840 / 1,000

P0986

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 30,0% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 2 861

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 7 139

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 129Deviation -R 6 011

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 7 139. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 4 513

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 307 to R 21 518
Finished ahead: 267 / 1,000 (26,7%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #733 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 9,85% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 0.653
Mean bets / session: 3.311
Loss multiplier: 0.9742×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 66,7% / 41,0% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 6 64910 wagers · RTP 73,17%

European RouletteR 4 3508 wagers · RTP 47,93%

BaccaratR 3 9847 wagers · RTP 117,34%

Craps / DiceR 3 7566 wagers · RTP 162,99%

American RouletteR 3 1066 wagers · RTP 0,00%

CrashR 3 0006 wagers · RTP 83,33%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 85,71%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 7507 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 5003 wagers · RTP 77,25%

Lottery / JackpotR 2002 wagers · RTP 0,00%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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