Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #171 / 1,000

P0989

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 74,9% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 10 414

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 414

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 845Deviation R 2 259

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 414. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 270

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 904 to R 24 114
Finished ahead: 260 / 1,000 (26,0%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #843 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 9,64% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.364
Mean bets / session: 2.808
Loss multiplier: 1.0077×, capped at 1 escalations
Stop loss / win: 39,0% / 67,9% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

American RouletteR 10 71616 wagers · RTP 60,44%

BlackjackR 8 29213 wagers · RTP 93,14%

CrashR 6 90414 wagers · RTP 176,20%

Virtual Sports BettingR 4 2649 wagers · RTP 175,88%

Craps / DiceR 3 9157 wagers · RTP 39,44%

BaccaratR 3 2565 wagers · RTP 135,93%

European RouletteR 3 0884 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 1 5006 wagers · RTP 200,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 1 2355 wagers · RTP 101,21%

Lottery / JackpotR 9009 wagers · RTP 44,44%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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