Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #53 / 1,000

P0993

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 96,3% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMETail outcomeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 19 191

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

R 9 191

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 594Deviation R 9 785

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L R 9 191. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 2 031

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 5 380 to R 7 188
Finished ahead: 268 / 1,000 (26,8%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #548 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 4,92% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.011
Mean bets / session: 1.532
Loss multiplier: 1.0932×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 36,6% / 75,2% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BlackjackR 2 5968 wagers · RTP 130,93%

CrashR 1 6305 wagers · RTP 250,00%

Virtual Sports BettingR 1 6305 wagers · RTP 100,24%

American RouletteR 1 1824 wagers · RTP 579,19%

BaccaratR 9783 wagers · RTP 66,67%

European RouletteR 9783 wagers · RTP 200,00%

Three-Reel SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 150,00%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 7503 wagers · RTP 33,33%

Craps / DiceR 6522 wagers · RTP 0,00%

Lottery / JackpotR 6006 wagers · RTP 166,67%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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