Synthetic policy · visible-world rank #780 / 1,000

P1000

Random control. The visible outcome sits at the 61,5% percentile of this policy's 1,000 replication outcomes.

VISIBLE OUTCOMEInside 5–95% rangeNot evidence of a repeatable edge

Current bankroll

R 4 093

Total allocated

R 10 0001 / 6 allocations

Observed lifetime P&L

-R 5 907

Expected P&L given wagers

-R 1 537Deviation -R 4 370

Two clocks kept separate

Six calendar-month path

Month-six visible P&L -R 5 907. Bankroll allocations used: 1.

Same policy · new random paths

-R 7 928

Across-world median final P&L

5th–95th percentile: -R 9 914 to R 23 984
Finished ahead: 233 / 1,000 (23,3%)
At least one ruin: 0 / 1,000 (0,0%)
Median rank: #866 / 1,000

Frozen behaviour

Policy card

Base stake: 6,26% of bankroll
Sessions / week: 1.312
Mean bets / session: 3.295
Loss multiplier: 1.2367×, capped at 2 escalations
Stop loss / win: 56,2% / 103,4% of session-start bankroll

Observed exposure

Game mix by turnover

BaccaratR 6 56314 wagers · RTP 99,91%

European RouletteR 6 10513 wagers · RTP 49,76%

American RouletteR 4 48313 wagers · RTP 157,39%

BlackjackR 3 87812 wagers · RTP 78,55%

Craps / DiceR 3 2937 wagers · RTP 37,78%

Virtual Sports BettingR 2 9978 wagers · RTP 81,64%

High-Volatility Video SlotR 2 0349 wagers · RTP 56,05%

Lottery / JackpotR 1 89519 wagers · RTP 31,66%

CrashR 1 7186 wagers · RTP 115,25%

Three-Reel SlotR 9445 wagers · RTP 94,81%

How to read this page

A lower loss is not the same as profit, and one high rank is not evidence of skill. Behaviour changes the wagers selected and the amount of exposure; “expected” and “luck” are descriptive components, not a perfect causal separation.

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