Extreme Fiscal Pressure
R03
65.8 trillion constant 2026 rand, present value of lost output
GSX:POP-012:R03 · Modelled result · Version 1.0
Machine-readable statement
In the permanent-suspension case, official debt falls to 70 percent of GDP while hidden pension losses, arrears and deferred maintenance reach 95 percent of GDP. The augmented public burden is 165 percent of GDP. Real output ends 42 percent below the no-shock path, and the present value of output lost after 2050 is R65.8 trillion.
Scenario: Permanent constitutional suspension through 2080. Evidence: modelled.
