When Retirement Becomes Impossible

C01

In this funded-account model, a worker who starts at 25 on R30,000 a month, contributes 12 percent, and earns a 3 percent net real return exhausts a pension equal to 60 percent of final salary around age 70 if retirement begins at 60 and life lasts to 90.

GSX:POP-001:C01 · Modelled · Conditional · high sensitivity · Version 1.0

Main limitation

This is one modelled path, not a forecast and not South Africa's current retirement system. Amounts are constant 2026 rand before personal income tax. A value below zero is a funding shortfall, not literal bank debt. The manuscript also shows that a higher contribution, a higher return, or a later retirement age can support the same target.

Depends on

Modelled results cited

Registered supporting sources