South Africa in a Richer Africa

C01

If the rest of Africa grows at 4.2 percent and South Africa at 3.5 percent, the manuscript's central scenario has South African GDP at about US$981 billion, real GDP per person up roughly 109 percent, and the continental GDP share down from 13.8 to 11.9 percent.

GSX:AFR-001:C01 · Modelled · Conditional · high sensitivity · Version 1.0

Depends on

A01Conditional growth ratesThe central scenario assumes the rest of Africa sustains 4.2 percent annual real growth from 2024 to 2050 while South Africa grows at 3.5 percent.high sensitivity

A02Starting sharesIn 2024 South Africa contained about 4.2 percent of Africa's population and produced roughly 13.8 percent of the continent's measured GDP in current US dollars.low sensitivity

Modelled results cited

R01Central scenario, 2050South African GDP more than doubles in real terms to about US$981 billion, real GDP per person rises by roughly 109 percent, and the share of African GDP falls from 13.8 to 11.9 percent.modelled

Registered supporting sources

South Africa in a Richer Africa · GSX:AFR-001:PDF