The Price of Another Child

C01

In the average run, the median cost of one permanently additional birth ranges from about R720,000 for free childcare to R4.18 million for a parent tax exemption. The targeted family package costs about R780,000 per added birth and produces nearly 99,000 additional births per million prospective households. A cash top-up costs about R1.76 million per added birth and produces only about 12,000.

GSX:POP-006:C01 · Modelled · Conditional · high sensitivity · Version 1.0

Depends on

A01One million prospective householdsThe model follows one million prospective households for five years and assumes 350,000 births without a new policy. It tests seven stylised interventions.high sensitivity

A02Only completed extra births countA birth paid for by a programme may be unchanged, brought forward, or permanently additional. Only the permanently additional group is credited as a lasting demographic response.high sensitivity

Modelled results cited

R01Average model run, seven stylised policiesIn the average run, the median cost of one permanently additional birth is about R720,000 for free childcare and R4.18 million for a parent tax exemption. The targeted family package costs about R780,000 per added birth and produces nearly 99,000 additional births per million prospective households.modelled

Registered supporting sources

The Price of Another Child · GSX:POP-006:PDF