The R350 Industrialisation Counterfactual

M01

SRD industrial-fund counterfactual

GSX:SRD-001:M01 · Model specification · Version 1.0

Connected conditional claims

C01GSX:SRD-001:C01If the SRD envelope of about R253.5 billion in constant 2026 rand had been reprioritised into an industrial fund, the best case holds about R789 billion in productive assets by 2050 and generates roughly R39 billion a year in public cash. The annual cash flow exceeds one current SRD budget year only around 2049.high sensitivity

C02GSX:SRD-001:C02The average case reaches roughly R304 billion in productive assets and R9 billion in annual public cash by 2050. The worst case reaches R72 billion and R0.7 billion a year.high sensitivity