The Capital-Goods Economy

C02

Under the drift case, cumulative equipment demand is US$1.80 trillion. The industrial-surge case reaches US$7.11 trillion. The opportunity depends on African industrialisation actually occurring.

GSX:IND-005:C02 · Modelled · Conditional · high sensitivity · Version 1.0

Depends on

A01Central manufacturing pathIn the central catch-up case, African manufacturing value added grows from a rounded US$300 billion in 2025 to about US$1.14 trillion in 2050. Factory-equipment purchases average 24 percent of manufacturing value added.high sensitivity

Modelled results cited

R01Central catch-up case, 2026-2050The central case produces a cumulative capital-goods market of US$3.89 trillion and about US$262 billion of South African equipment sales over twenty-five years, in constant 2024 dollars.modelled

Registered supporting sources

The Capital-Goods Economy · GSX:IND-005:PDF