GREYSCIENXResearch publication

Research About Founder Read the archive

03 · The R350 Counterfactual

The R200 Billion Factory

A concrete industrial deployment scenario at the scale of the grant programme.

Open manuscript Full archive

PDF · 21 pages · 1.46 MB · 03.05

Share this paper

A stable public URL.

This page is the shareable record for the article. The PDF remains the complete manuscript.

greyscienx.com/research/r350-counterfactual/the-r200-billion-factory

03

Same series

The R350 Counterfactual

What South Africa might have built with the SRD budget—and what society would have lost by withholding it.

03.01The R350 Industrialisation CounterfactualThe productive-capital alternative to repeated emergency cash transfers.21 pages · 1.38 MB

03.02The Welfare Cost of Not Paying the GrantThe poverty, consumption and social cost omitted from the industrialisation counterfactual.27 pages · 1.44 MB

03.03Consumption Today or Productive Capital Tomorrow?The timing and distributional trade-off between relief and investment.24 pages · 1.55 MB

03.04The Public-Capital MultiplierWhen state-financed productive assets generate durable economic capacity.19 pages · 1.40 MB

GreyScienx

Independent research across fields.

The R200 Billion Factory · GreyScienx