The R350 Counterfactual
What South Africa might have built with the SRD budget—and what society would have lost by withholding it.
Shared record
Assumptions, models, and open questions
No assumption name is registered on more than one study in this series.
Constant-price scenario accounting is shared across the series where the manuscripts say so.
Each study keeps its own registered model.
No shared microdata file is published for the series.
Published contradictions: 0. Published qualifying links: 0.
Unresolved questions
- What productive-capital alternative to repeated emergency cash transfers does the R350 counterfactual examine?
- What poverty, consumption, and social costs does the industrialisation counterfactual leave out when the grant is not paid?
- What is the timing and distributional trade-off between relief today and productive capital tomorrow?
- When do state-financed productive assets generate durable economic capacity?
- What industrial deployment does a scenario at the scale of the grant programme describe?
Topics in this series