African economy
Studies of South Africa’s role if incomes, cities, and capital markets grow across the continent.
Related questions
- How does a richer African continent change the South African economy?
- What happens to South African growth if African incomes converge upward?
- What would make Johannesburg Africa's financial capital?
- How do continental growth and local institutions shape Johannesburg's financial role?
- What industrial role does South Africa have in African urbanisation?
- Which city-building goods could a South African factory system supply?
Relevant claims
- GSX:AFR-001: If the rest of Africa grows at 4.2 percent and South Africa at 3.5 percent, the manuscript's central scenario has South African GDP at about US$981 billion, real GDP per person up roughly 109 percent, and the continental GDP share down from 13.8 to 11.9 percent.
- GSX:AFR-002: In the central regional-hub scenario, an 8 percent capture share produces about US$90.4 billion of cumulative financial-services revenue and about US$71.2 billion of value retained in South Africa.
- GSX:AFR-003: In the central build-out, South African-linked firms record US$264 billion of cumulative gross sales and about US$137 billion of domestic value added over twenty-five years.
Major assumptions
- Central hub shares · high sensitivity · GSX:AFR-002
- Conditional growth rates · high sensitivity · GSX:AFR-001
- Contestable share and retention · high sensitivity · GSX:AFR-003
- Platform-income share · high sensitivity · GSX:AFR-001
- Urban anchor · moderate sensitivity · GSX:AFR-003
- Starting financial depth · low sensitivity · GSX:AFR-002
- Starting shares · low sensitivity · GSX:AFR-001
Datasets
- South Africa in a Richer Africa · GSX:AFR-001
- Johannesburg as Africa’s Financial Capital · GSX:AFR-002
- The Factory for African Urbanisation · GSX:AFR-003
Connected topics