Research

Research
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Claims depend on assumptions, cite modelled results, and belong to a study. Studies belong to a series.

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The Economics of Living Together

GSX:HH-001. How do early cohabitation, delayed cohabitation, and separate households compare in a Gauteng lifetime scenario?

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The First Three Years Advantage

GSX:HH-002. How can delaying rent and car ownership at the start of a career alter lifetime wealth?

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When Retirement Becomes Impossible

GSX:POP-001. What are the demographic and financial limits of retirement at 60?

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Today’s Unemployment Is Tomorrow’s Pension Crisis

GSX:POP-002. How does youth unemployment, followed across a lifetime, become old-age dependence?

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Does Raising the Retirement Age Actually Work?

GSX:POP-003. Does raising the retirement age still work once youth unemployment, productivity, and disability are taken into account?

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The Politics of an Ageing Electorate

GSX:POP-004. How can voter age structure redirect spending and intergenerational transfers?

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Emergency Ageing Austerity

GSX:POP-005. Which policy packages for closing an ageing-related fiscal deficit are examined for lower welfare loss?

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The Price of Another Child

GSX:POP-006. When does fertility support become cheaper than financing demographic decline?

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The Hundred-Year Life

GSX:POP-007. How would education, work, housing, and family life be redesigned for lives of 100 to 120 years?

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Inheritance After Retirement

GSX:POP-008. What is the economic difference when inheritance arrives at 40, 55, 70, or 85?

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How to Shrink a Country Without Breaking It

GSX:POP-009. What happens to housing, cities, and public infrastructure under population contraction?

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The Scarce-Worker Economy

GSX:POP-010. Can automation, productivity, and immigration substitute for missing workers?

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The Population System

GSX:POP-011. How do the population studies connect as one policy system?

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Extreme Fiscal Pressure

GSX:POP-012. How could emergency government measures introduced in 2050 alter the population system?

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The R350 Industrialisation Counterfactual

GSX:SRD-001. What productive-capital alternative to repeated emergency cash transfers does the R350 counterfactual examine?

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The Welfare Cost of Not Paying the Grant

GSX:SRD-002. What poverty, consumption, and social costs does the industrialisation counterfactual leave out when the grant is not paid?

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Consumption Today or Productive Capital Tomorrow?

GSX:SRD-003. What is the timing and distributional trade-off between relief today and productive capital tomorrow?

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The Public-Capital Multiplier

GSX:SRD-004. When do state-financed productive assets generate durable economic capacity?

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The R200 Billion Factory

GSX:SRD-005. What industrial deployment does a scenario at the scale of the grant programme describe?

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The South African Critical Minerals Industrial Complex

GSX:IND-001. How could South African mineral endowment be converted into industrial depth?

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The Platinum-to-Hydrogen Economy

GSX:IND-002. How can platinum reserves connect to a hydrogen industrial base?

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The Manganese-to-Battery Economy

GSX:IND-003. What route runs from manganese extraction to higher-value battery production?

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The Vanadium Grid-Storage Economy

GSX:IND-004. Can domestic grid storage anchor a vanadium industry?

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The Capital-Goods Economy

GSX:IND-005. What equipment, capabilities, and supplier networks sit behind durable industrialisation?

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The Mineral Sovereign Wealth Fund

GSX:IND-006. What fiscal architecture converts exhaustible mineral resources into permanent public wealth?

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South Africa in a Richer Africa

GSX:AFR-001. What are the macroeconomic consequences for South Africa of broad African income convergence?

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Johannesburg as Africa’s Financial Capital

GSX:AFR-002. Under what conditions could Johannesburg finance a continent-scale economy?

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The Factory for African Urbanisation

GSX:AFR-003. How can South African production serve the infrastructure of African city growth?

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Inherited Geography

GSX:WPL-001. How does South Africa's unequal property geography continue to compound into differences in wealth?

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